Archive - Second Thoughts

Slow Adoption Applies To Evil AI, Too, The Market for AI Coding Tools Could Be Dwarfed by Health Care Administration, Why Do Radiologists Still Have…

Jul 18 •

,

, and

Rachel Weinberg

Not So Fast: AI Coding Tools Can Actually Reduce Productivity

Study Shows That Even Experienced Developers Dramatically Overestimate Gains

Jul 10 •

June 2025

The Curve 2025: The Premier Big Picture AI Conference

October 3-5 at Lighthaven, in Berkeley, CA

Jun 24 •

Rachel Weinberg

and

The Big Picture on Cybersecurity, We May Be Underestimating Meta AI, Where LLMs are Heading, And More

Jun 16 •

and

May 2025

April 2025

First, They Came for the Software Engineers…

What 25 interviews tell us about AI's messy impact on tech work

Apr 29 •

Finally, A Way to Measure AI Progress; Everyone's Misreading It

That METR Study Doesn’t Say "AGI in 5 Years"

Apr 24 •

February 2025

If AGI Means Everything People Do... What is it That People Do?

And Why Are Today’s "PhD" AIs So Hard To Apply To Everyday Tasks?

Feb 27 •

We're Finding Out What Humans are Bad At

AI Advances Fastest When We Find Unnatural Ways of Doing Things

Feb 18 •

January 2025

China’s DeepSeek Adds a Weird New Data Point to The AI Race

V3 and R1 are Impressive Work, With Many Implications – but not "China Has Caught Up"

Jan 30 •

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