Second Thoughts

Reflections on The Curve

A compilation

Nov 20 • Steve Newman and Rachel Weinberg

10

2

Hyperproductivity: The Next Stage of AI?

A glimpse at an astonishing, exhilarating, exhausting new style of work

Nov 19 • Steve Newman

140

11

17

A Coalition For The Future

If we can keep it

Nov 11 • Anton Leicht

13

1

A Project Is Not a Bundle of Tasks

Current AIs struggle to create a whole that exceeds the sum of its parts

Nov 4 • Steve Newman

79

7

16

October 2025

What I Saw Around The Curve

Notes from the near-future of AI

Oct 29 • Steve Newman

94

17

19

The Future and Its Friends

On the march through the institutions

Published on Hyperdimensional • Oct 17

September 2025

Human Drivers Will Kill 11 People While You Read This

Let’s not obstruct the technology that could have saved them

Sep 24 • Steve Newman

46

11

9

We’re In the Windows 95 Era of AI Agent Security

Headed for widespread usage, and insecure by design

Sep 10 • Steve Newman

30

2

3

GPT-5: The Case of the Missing Agent

AI has made enormous progress in the last 16 months. Agentic AI seems farther off than ever.

Sep 4 • Steve Newman

107

20

14

August 2025

35 Thoughts About AGI and 1 About GPT-5

Such As: How do Teenagers Learn to Drive 10,000x Faster Than Waymo?

Aug 14 • Steve Newman

298

41

53

July 2025

Short Takes #2

Slow Adoption Applies To Evil AI, Too, The Market for AI Coding Tools Could Be Dwarfed by Health Care Administration, Why Do Radiologists Still Have…

Jul 18 • Steve Newman, TarenSK, and Rachel Weinberg

13

7

1

Not So Fast: AI Coding Tools Can Actually Reduce Productivity

Study Shows That Even Experienced Developers Dramatically Overestimate Gains

Jul 10 • Steve Newman

102

29

11