Second Thoughts

What I Saw Around The Curve

Notes from the near-future of AI

Oct 29 • 

Steve Newman

53

8

The Future and Its Friends

On the march through the institutions

Published on Hyperdimensional • Oct 17

September 2025

Human Drivers Will Kill 11 People While You Read This

Let’s not obstruct the technology that could have saved them

Sep 24 • 

Steve Newman

45

11

We’re In the Windows 95 Era of AI Agent Security

Headed for widespread usage, and insecure by design

Sep 10 • 

Steve Newman

29

2

GPT-5: The Case of the Missing Agent

AI has made enormous progress in the last 16 months. Agentic AI seems farther off than ever.

Sep 4 • 

Steve Newman

102

20

August 2025

35 Thoughts About AGI and 1 About GPT-5

Such As: How do Teenagers Learn to Drive 10,000x Faster Than Waymo?

Aug 14 • 

Steve Newman

289

41

July 2025

Short Takes #2

Slow Adoption Applies To Evil AI, Too, The Market for AI Coding Tools Could Be Dwarfed by Health Care Administration, Why Do Radiologists Still Have…

Jul 18 • 

Steve Newman

, 

TarenSK

, and 

Rachel Weinberg

13

7

Not So Fast: AI Coding Tools Can Actually Reduce Productivity

Study Shows That Even Experienced Developers Dramatically Overestimate Gains

Jul 10 • 

Steve Newman

102

29

June 2025

The Curve 2025: The Premier Big Picture AI Conference

October 3-5 at Lighthaven, in Berkeley, CA

Jun 24 • 

Rachel Weinberg

 and 

Steve Newman

8

Short Takes #1

The Big Picture on Cybersecurity, We May Be Underestimating Meta AI, Where LLMs are Heading, And More

Jun 16 • 

Steve Newman

 and 

TarenSK

9

2

May 2025

Lab vs. Life: Dissecting “AI as Normal Technology”

What if AGI Can't Be Developed in an Ivory Tower?

May 30 • 

Steve Newman

21

12

When Decades Become Days: Dissecting AI 2027

The Four Requirements for a Short AI Timeline

May 21 • 

Steve Newman

28

3